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  1. varx-business-cycle-br varx-business-cycle-br Public

    This study examines the applicability of the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT) to the Brazilian context between 2004 and 2024 using VARX modeling.

  2. arima-natura-revenue-forecasting arima-natura-revenue-forecasting Public

    Identification and modeling of the underlying stochastic process for Natura&Co's Gross Revenue time series

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  3. infant-mortality-panel-data infant-mortality-panel-data Public

    An analysis of the predominant factors in the increase of infant mortality across municipalities in Minas Gerais.

  4. auction-neural-networks auction-neural-networks Public

    Neural Networks for Optimizing Auction Auditing

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  5. exchange-rate-forecasting exchange-rate-forecasting Public

    Forecasting BRL/USD exchange rate using the "Napkin" mean-reversion model in R.

  6. monetary-policy-analysis monetary-policy-analysis Public

    Comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of the Brazilian scenario ahead of the May 2025 COPOM meeting. This study evaluates activity, inflation, and fiscal indicators to project Selic rate decisions.